Poll: Most Californians say they’ll vote yes on Proposition 50

The survey from the Public Policy Institute of California comes days before a special election for Democrats’ redistricting campaign in the state.

Accompanied by Democratic lawmakers from California and Texas, Gov. Gavin Newsom talks about redistricting during a Sacramento news conference in August. | AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli

SACRAMENTO, California — More than half of likely voters are planning to support California Democrats’ redistricting ballot measure next week, a new poll shows.

The survey from the Public Policy Institute of California comes as Democrats in the state and nationwide move to counter President Donald Trump’s push to redraw congressional lines in red states ahead of next year’s midterm elections. The Trump administration announced earlier this week that it was sending election monitors to California, marking an escalation in the state’s redistricting push — though the president has otherwise been largely quiet about it.

Of the 56 percent of likely voters who plan to support the Nov. 4 measure, 95 percent disapprove of how Trump is handling his job, while 86 percent approve of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s performance as governor. Forty-three percent of voters say they will be voting no on Proposition 50, according to the poll, which was conducted by Ipsos.

Regardless of political party, nearly 70 percent of likely voters say that the outcome of the special election is “very important” to them.

The Prop 50 campaign has made resisting Trump the primary focus of its messaging in an effort to drive Democrats to the polls in an off-year election. The survey showed strong partisan divides, with 84 percent of Democrats saying they will vote for the measure and 89 percent of Republicans saying they will oppose it. Fifty-five percent of independents plan to vote yes.

The survey was based on responses from 1,707 adults and 943 likely voters in California from Oct. 7-14. The margin of error for the entire sample was 3 percent at the 95 percent confidence level and 4.1 percent for the likely voters.

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